刘敦楠;王佳妮;华婧雯;吴文卓;张潜;刘明光;加鹤萍;

• 1:华北电力大学经济与管理学院
• 2:广州电力交易中心有限责任公司

摘要(Abstract)：

以能源互联网为代表的系统方案是推动能源体系重塑的重要手段,近年来我国开展了若干能源互联网相关示范项目,但在项目落地过程中遇到了很多问题,究其原因一方面是在项目遴选时缺乏科学的分析评价方法,另一方面是缺乏基于项目场景特征的投资方向选择,导致能源互联网工程的投资回报率无法得到保障。该文旨在基于当前的政策与市场机制对能源互联网场景进行特征识别,以指导能源互联网项目的科学筛选;同时根据场景特征为其提供对应的商业模式与运营策略方向,以充分挖掘能源互联网项目的盈利潜能。首先梳理了我国能源互联网试点项目的典型场景,并根据试点经验总结出优质能源互联网项目场景特征;其次设计了基于云模型的模糊Petri网场景特征识别模型;最后提出了不同特征场景的主要投资策略。通过对我国8个能源互联网场景进行实证分析证明了所提方法能够在多个场景中进行优选,并且可根据场景的特征为能源互联网项目方案的优化设计、决策提供依据。

关键词(KeyWords)： 能源互联网;场景;特征识别;云模型;模糊Petri网

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA081);; 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(2020MS049)~~

作者(Author): 刘敦楠;王佳妮;华婧雯;吴文卓;张潜;刘明光;加鹤萍;

Email:

DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2020.0298

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