不确定性因素引起备用的探讨DISCUSSION ON RESERVE CAUSED BY UNCERTAIN FACTORS
孟祥星,韩学山
摘要(Abstract):
为应付电力系统中各种不确定性因素造成的供需不平衡,系统运行必须设置备用,备用会增加电力商品的成本,因此明确备用的本质和责任尤为重要。文章分析了备用的物理本质,讨论了由于电力供给的不确定性、电力需求的不确定性和输电元件故障的不确定性引起的备用,定量分析、探讨了备用的隶属关系及在市场成员中的分摊原则,各市场参与者应根据自身对系统风险度的影响确定应分摊的备用。
关键词(KeyWords): 电力市场;不确定性;备用;风险度;电力系统
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金资助项目(50377021)~~
作者(Author): 孟祥星,韩学山
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