张文韬;黄镔;王秀丽;印永华;党灿;侯孚睿;

• 1:西安交通大学电气工程学院
• 2:中国电力科学研究院

摘要(Abstract)：

大规模风电的接入使得电力系统的调峰问题越来越严重,因此有必要通过分析日运行方式来研究电源结构的合理性。在传统电力电量平衡法的基础上,提出了一种基于多状态新能源发电模拟的日运行方式和调峰安排算法,用于对电源投产方案进行运行可行性的分析与校验。算法基于Markov过程进行风电出力的时序多状态建模,根据历史风电出力数据得到初始分布和转移矩阵。在等效电量函数法的基础上提出了一种高效的多状态负荷修正方法,进而以确定性的生产模拟方法研究系统的电力电量平衡情况及调峰问题,从而保证电源建设方案在满足经济性、可靠性的基础上还满足运行可行性的相关要求。算例分析验证了所提模型与算法的有效性和实用性,可为我国电源规划工作提供参考。

关键词(KeyWords)： 风力发电;Markov过程;多状态;生产模拟;电力电量平衡;调峰

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家863高技术基金项目(2011AA05A103);; 国家电网公司科技项目(XT71-11-022)~~

作者(Author): 张文韬;黄镔;王秀丽;印永华;党灿;侯孚睿;

Email:

DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2015.08.006

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