贾文昭;康重庆;李丹;陈之栩;刘军;

• 1:电力系统及发电设备控制和仿真国家重点实验室(清华大学)
• 2:华北电网有限公司

摘要(Abstract)：

准确掌握电力系统消纳风电的能力,有助于风电场建设规划,更可辅助实际运行的调度决策。风电消纳能力的评估应分析全时段、计及多因素、考虑日前风电出力预测、探寻风电"可消纳包络带"。提出了一种基于日前风功率预测的风电消纳能力评估方法,首先以日前预测所得风电为基本信息,优化常规机组的启停状态;然后基于此决策,探寻系统次日全时段可消纳风电的上下限,并基于二次规划模型生成极端风电出力作为判据样本,分析系统次日消纳风电的能力,进而为运行人员提供决策辅助。

关键词(KeyWords)： 风电消纳能力;日前风电预测;全时段;极端风电出力;二次规划

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家863高技术基金项目(2011AA05A101)~~

作者(Author): 贾文昭;康重庆;李丹;陈之栩;刘军;

Email:

DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2012.08.042

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