售电市场环境下电力用户选择售电公司行为研究Study on Power Consumers' Choices of Electricity Retailers in Electricity Selling Market
孙云涛;宋依群;姚良忠;严正;
摘要(Abstract):
售电市场放开是我国售电侧改革的发展方向,竞争性售电市场中用户选择权放开,用户选择结果直接影响售电公司的市场份额,进而影响售电公司的售电策略。分析了售电市场环境下影响用户选择售电公司的因素,考虑不同类型用户的用电特性,计及可中断负荷、用户分布式可再生能源的影响,基于层次分析法建立用户效用模型,在此基础上,采用演化博弈理论分析用户选择过程,基于logit修正协议构建了不同类型用户群体选择售电公司的多群体动态演化模型,给出了模型的求解算法并证明了模型稳定性。算例分析验证了所提模型和算法的有效性,并分析了售电市场环境下各类因素对用户选择结果的影响。
关键词(KeyWords): 售电市场;用户选择;可中断负荷;分布式可再生能源;演化博弈
基金项目(Foundation): 国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFB0900100)~~
作者(Author): 孙云涛;宋依群;姚良忠;严正;
Email:
DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2017.2338
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