基于复杂适应系统理论的可再生能源广域互补规划方法Renewable Energy Wide Area Complementary Planning for Multi-energy Power System Based on Complex Adaptive System Theory
赵书强;索璕;马燕峰;董凌;
摘要(Abstract):
针对多能源电力系统电源多点布局规划问题,综合分析了由风力发电、光伏发电、水力发电、传统火电、光热发电以及储能组成的多能源电力系统的出力特性,以互补性为侧重点,将电源优化规划与复杂适应系统理论相结合,提出一种基于复杂适应系统理论的多能源电源多点布局规划模型。该模型以各新能源电源为主体,通过主体间的交互以及经验的积累,不断变化其行为规则,调整各类电源的装机容量,求得各节点各类电源容量的最优布局方案。并且提出了一种基于简单规则涌现出复杂现象的主体建模方法,揭示了复杂适应系统理论的核心思想——适应性造就复杂性。以我国某地区实际电网为例,验证了所提方法对提高新能源的消纳有显著效果,并且基于该地区目前电源容量布局及未来的网架结构,给出了未来电源优化布局方案,对实际的工程建设有一定的指导意义。
关键词(KeyWords): 多能源电力系统;互补性;复杂适应系统;主体建模;源网协调;电源规划
基金项目(Foundation): 国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFB0902200);; 国家电网公司科技项目(5228001700CW)~~
作者(Author): 赵书强;索璕;马燕峰;董凌;
Email:
DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2020.0416
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