柴大鹏;史慧;薛松;曾鸣;

• 1:华北电力大学经济与管理学院

摘要(Abstract)：

风电的大规模发展在很大程度上取决于风电的经济性,因此,研究风力发电并网附加成本与其影响因素,找到降低风力发电成本的途径,对于促进风电产业有序发展有着重要的现实意义。从电力系统运行的角度,以电网总成本最小化为目标,以资源储量、电力电量平衡、备用容量和水电调度为约束,构建了研究风电附加成本的确定性模型,并在此基础上,引入情景树来描述风力发电的特殊性,建立随机性模型。运用CPLEX求解器辅以算例仿真了规划期内不同能源政策对各类型发电机组年发电量及风电并网附加成本的影响。结果表明,较之确定性模型,在研究含风电的电力系统时,随机性模型具有较高的适用性。

关键词(KeyWords)： 可再生能源;风电;并网附加成本;确定性模型;随机性模型

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation):

作者(Author): 柴大鹏;史慧;薛松;曾鸣;

Email:

DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2014.03.022

参考文献(References)：

• [1]李红叶,陈森林.中国可再生能源发电发展战略探讨[J].中国农村水利水电,2011(3):131-135.Li Hongye,Chen Senlin.Discussion of China's renewable energy development strategy[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2011(3):131-135(in Chinese).
• [2]Eric M.Renewable power for China:past,present and future[J].Frontiers of Energy and Power Engineering in China,2010,4(3):287-294.
• [3]Caralis G,Zervos A.Value of wind energy on the reliability of autonomous power systems[J].Renewable Power Generation,2010,4(2):186-197.
• [4]Ma Chunbo,David I S.Biomass and China’s carbon emissions:a missing piece of carbon decomposition[J].Energy Policy,2008,36(7):2517-2526.
• [5]Xiong Wentao,Qi Huan.A hybrid MCDM method for evaluating the performance of power grid[J].ICIC Express Letters,Part B:Applications,2011,2(4):891-898.
• [6]周双喜,王海超,陈寿孙.风力发电运行价值分析[J].电网技术,2006,30(14):98-102.Zhou Shuangxi,Wang Haichao,Chen Shousun.Analysis on operation value of wind power resources[J].Power System Technology,2006,30(14):98-102(in Chinese).
• [7]李强,袁越,李振杰,等.考虑峰谷电价的风电–抽水蓄能联合系统能量转化效益研究[J].电网技术,2009,33(6):13-18.Li Qiang,Yuan Yue,Li Zhenjie,et al.Research on energy shifting benefits of hybrid wind power and pumped hydro storage system considering peak-valley electricity price[J].Power System Technology,2009,33(6):13-18(in Chinese).
• [8]高赐威,何叶.胡荣.考虑大规模风电接入的电力规划研究[J].电网与清洁能源,2011,27(10):53-59.Gao Ciwei,He Ye,Hu Rong.Power planning with large scale wing power integrated[J].Power System and Clean Energy,2011,27(10):53-59(in Chinese).
• [9]雷亚洲,王伟胜,印永华,等.风电对电力系统运行的价值分析[J].电网技术,2002,26(5):10-14.Lei Yazhou,Wang Weisheng,Yin Yonghua,et al.Analysis of wind power value to power system operarion[J].Power System Technology,2002,26(5):10-14(in Chinese).
• [10]王正明,路正南.风电项目投资及其运行的经济性分析[J].可再生能源,2008,26(6):21-24.Wang Zhengming,Lu Zhengnan.The economic analysis on the investment and operation of the wind power project[J].Renewable Energy Resources,2008,26(6):21-24(in Chinese).
• [11]曾鸣,张徐东,田廓.考虑风电并网的发电容量投资组合优化模型[J].电网技术,2011,35(12):153-158.Zeng Ming,Zhang Xudong,Tian Kuo,et al.An optimal model of generation capacity investment portfolio considering grid-connected wind farm[J].Power System Technology,2011,35(12):153-158(in Chinese).
• [12]孙金.风电运行成本和价值分析[D].长沙:湖南大学,2012.
• [13]刘岱,庞松岭.风电集中接入对电网影响分析[J].电网技术,2011,23(3):156-160.Liu Dai,Pang Songling.System impacts analysis for interconnection of wind farm and power grid[J].Power System Technology,2011,23(3):156-160(in Chinese).
• [14]康忠健,辛士郎,仲崇山,等.双馈风电场穿透功率增加对电力系统稳定影响综述[J].电力自动化设备,2011,31(11):94-99.Kang Zhongjian,Xin Shilang,Zhong Chongshan,et al.Impact of ride-through power increase of DFIG-based wind farm on power system stability[J].Electric Power Automation Equipment,2011,31(11):94-99(in Chinese).
• [15]尹明,王成山,葛旭波.风电并网经济技术评价研究综述[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2010,22(5):102-108.Yin Ming,Wang Chengshan,Ge Xubo.Review of economic-technical assessment of wind power integration[J].Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA,2010,22(5):102-108(in Chinese).
• [16]Hirst E,Hild J.The value of wind energy as a function of wind capacity[J].The Electricity Journal,2004,17(6):11-20.
• [17]De Carolis J F,Keith D W.The economics of large-scale wind power in a carbon constrained world[J].Energy Policy,2006,34(4):395-410.
• [18]王正明,路正南.风电成本构成与运行价值的技术经济分析[J].科学管理研究,2009,27(2):51-54.Wang Zhengming,Lu Zhengnan.Techno-economic analysis on cost structure and operation value of the wind power project[J].Scientific Management Research,2009,27(2):51-54(in Chinese).
• [19]袁永娜,石敏俊,李娜,等.碳排放许可的强度分配标准与中国区域经济协调发展:基于30省区CGE模型的分析[J].气候变化研究进展,2012,8(1):60-67.Yuan Yongna,Shi Minjun,Li Na,et al.Intensity allocation criteria of carbon emission permits and china regional development-based on a 30-province autonomous region computable equilibrium model analysis[J].Progressus Inquisitiones DE Mutatione Climatis,2012,8(1):60-67(in Chinese).